This just in from the “how do they know” department: The recent announcement by Bavarian Nordic, a leading vaccine manufacturer, to produce millions of monkeypox (mpox) vaccines by next year comes at a critical time as the World Health Organization (WHO) has declared a public health emergency due to an escalating outbreak in Africa. This decision reflects the urgent need for increased vaccination efforts to combat the spread of the virus, which has shown a concerning mutation that enhances its transmissibility among humans.
Background on Monkeypox
Monkeypox is a viral disease related to smallpox, characterized by fever, swollen lymph nodes, and a distinctive rash. Historically confined to parts of Central Africa, the disease has recently spread globally, particularly impacting communities of men who have sex with men. The current outbreak has resulted in over 17,000 suspected cases and more than 500 deaths this year, with a significantly higher fatality rate than previous variants, raising alarms among health authorities[3][6].
There is concern that monkeypox could spread to the heterosexual community. While the current outbreak has predominantly affected gay and bisexual men, health officials emphasize that monkeypox is not limited to any specific sexual orientation. The virus spreads primarily through close physical contact, which can occur during intimate activities such as kissing and sexual intercourse, as well as through direct contact with infectious sores or contaminated objects[9][10]. The Centers for Disease Control and Prevention (CDC) has noted that anyone, including heterosexual individuals, can contract monkeypox if they have close contact with an infected person. This includes not only sexual contact but also any prolonged skin-to-skin interaction[11][12].
Bavarian Nordic’s Commitment
Bavarian Nordic has announced its capability to deliver up to 2 million doses of the JYNNEOS vaccine by the end of the year, with an additional 8 million doses projected for 2025. This increase in production is crucial as the WHO’s recent declaration underscores the need for rapid vaccination efforts to mitigate the outbreak’s impact. The company has already prepared 300,000 doses for immediate shipment and has been actively collaborating with the European Commission to distribute vaccines effectively[3][6].
The Importance of Vaccination
Vaccination is a key strategy in controlling the spread of mpox. The JYNNEOS vaccine, which is preferred by global health authorities due to its safety profile, is administered in two doses and has been shown to provide effective protection against the virus. The U.S. government has already facilitated the distribution of nearly 1 million doses, emphasizing the urgency of expanding access to at-risk populations, particularly in light of recent outbreaks linked to close contact transmission[4][5].
Challenges Ahead
Despite the promising developments in vaccine production, challenges remain. The cost of the vaccine, estimated at around $100 per dose, poses a barrier to access, especially in low-income regions where healthcare resources are limited. Additionally, swift mobilization of funds and logistical support will be essential to ensure that vaccines reach those most in need before the outbreak escalates further[3][6].
Potential for Population Change
Researchers believe that if societal norms begin to favor less physical contact due to health concerns, such as during pandemics, it may lead to a decline in intimate relationships. This shift could result in lower birth rates, particularly if individuals postpone forming partnerships or starting families. In essence, a heightened general fear of skin-to-skin contact could potentially lead to fewer births[13]. Additionally, a report from the U.S. Surgeon General emphasizes that the decline in social connections, exacerbated by the pandemic, can have profound effects on mental health and societal well-being[14].
Financial Opportunities
This decline in social interaction may lead to increased sales in certain industries. For instance, sectors such as technology, entertainment, and home fitness have seen growth as people seek alternative means of connection and engagement. The rise of virtual communication platforms, streaming services, and home exercise equipment reflects a shift in consumer behavior driven by the need for social interaction in a physically distanced world[15].
Conclusion
Bavarian Nordic’s announcement to ramp up monkeypox vaccine production is a significant step towards addressing the current public health emergency. As health authorities worldwide prepare to respond to the ongoing outbreak, the focus must remain on equitable access to vaccines and effective public health strategies to control the spread of mpox. The coming months will be critical in determining the trajectory of this outbreak and the global response to future health emergencies.
Read More
[1] https://www.hhs.gov/about/news/2022/07/28/hhs-expands-availability-of-monkeypox-vaccine-to-more-than-1-million-doses.html
[2] https://www.hhs.gov/about/news/2022/08/29/hhs-funds-us-based-production-of-smallpox-and-monkeypox-vaccine.html
[3] https://www.forbes.com/sites/roberthart/2024/08/15/vaccine-maker-shares-soar-after-who-declares-health-emergency-over-africa-mpox-outbreak/
[4] https://www.whitehouse.gov/briefing-room/statements-releases/2022/08/18/fact-sheet-white-house-announces-new-actions-to-combat-monkeypox-outbreak/
[5] https://med.stanford.edu/news/all-news/2022/06/monkeypox.html
[6] https://www.cnbc.com/2024/08/15/mpox-health-stocks-jump-as-who-declares-global-health-emergency.html
[7] https://www.science.org/content/article/there-s-shortage-monkeypox-vaccine-could-one-dose-instead-two-suffice
[8] https://www.science.org/content/article/untold-story-how-nigeria-s-mpox-outbreak-sparked-worldwide-epidemic
[9] https://health.hawaii.gov/docd/files/2022/06/Monkeypox-and-gay-and-bisexual-men-fact-sheet-06-02-2022.pdf
[10] https://www.cnn.com/2022/07/18/health/monkeypox-lgbtq-safety/index.html
[11] https://www.cdc.gov/mmwr/volumes/71/wr/mm7135e2.htm
[12] https://www.who.int/news/item/25-05-2022-monkeypox–public-health-advice-for-gay–bisexual-and-other-men-who-have-sex-with-men
[13] https://www.nature.com/articles/s41562-020-0884-z
[14] https://www.hhs.gov/sites/default/files/surgeon-general-social-connection-advisory.pdf
[15] https://www.ncbi.nlm.nih.gov/pmc/articles/PMC3150158/
