The Great Simplification is a concept introduced by Nate Hagens that describes an impending transition in human society characterized by a significant reduction in complexity and resource consumption. This shift is anticipated to arise from the depletion of fossil fuels and the subsequent need to adapt to a world with less energy available.
Historical Context
Over the past couple of centuries, humanity has experienced what Hagens refers to as “the greatest complexification” in our history. This period has been marked by an unprecedented increase in population, technological advancement, and material consumption, all fueled by the extraction and utilization of fossil energy sources like coal, oil, and natural gas. The human economy has grown over a thousand times larger than it was 500 years ago, primarily due to our ability to harness these energy sources at a rate far exceeding their natural replenishment[1][2].
The Concept of Simplification
Hagens posits that as fossil fuel reserves dwindle, society will inevitably face a contraction in economic activity and material throughput. This process, termed the Great Simplification, suggests that the complexity built into our systems—ranging from international supply chains to intricate technological infrastructures—will need to be unwound. The result will likely be a lifestyle that is less reliant on high-energy consumption and more focused on local and interpersonal connections[2][3].
Key Features of the Great Simplification
– Reduction in Material Throughput: The average person may have access to fewer goods and services as energy becomes scarcer. This could lead to a decrease in overall consumption levels.
– Shift in Relationships: As society adapts, relationships with nature, each other, and global trade will change. There may be a greater emphasis on local communities and sustainable practices.
– Potential for Positive Change: Hagens argues that this simplification does not have to result in disaster. Instead, it can lead to improved quality of life through stronger community ties and a deeper appreciation for local resources[2][3].
Possible Scenarios
Hagens outlines several potential paths for how the Great Simplification might unfold:
1. Planned Transition: A socially cohesive approach where communities work together to adapt to reduced energy availability without collapsing societal structures.
2. Unguided Decline: A chaotic reduction in complexity leading to increased conflict over dwindling resources, reminiscent of dystopian scenarios often depicted in media.
3. Total Collapse: A scenario where societal structures break down entirely due to mismanagement of resources and energy scarcity[3][4].
Conclusion
The Great Simplification presents both challenges and opportunities for humanity. While it signals a necessary adjustment to our way of life in response to finite resources, it also invites a reevaluation of what constitutes well-being and success in society. By fostering local connections and sustainable practices, there is potential for a more fulfilling existence that honors the natural world while adapting to new realities[1][2][3].
Read More
[1] https://www.organism.earth/library/document/great-simplification
[2] https://www.kosmosjournal.org/kj_article/great-simplification/
[3] https://substack.com/home/post/p-153306812
[4] https://www.resilience.org/stories/2022-05-19/the-great-simplification-full-movie/
[5] https://natehagens.substack.com/p/introducingthe-great-simplification
[6] https://joyinenough.org/2023/08/30/what-is-the-great-simplification/
[7] https://www.thegreatsimplification.com
[8] https://holmgren.com.au/the-great-simplification-with-nate-hagens-and-david-holmgren-podcast-transcript/